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Expect A Quiet Fed Meeting, But $500B QE3 Is Around The Corner

Forbes - Mar 13, 2012

While the Fed isn’t expected to announce any new policy action on Tuesday, the FOMC will probably hint at further easing which shouldn’t be too far away.

Labor markets remain depressed, despite a couple of months of solid jobs growth, and housing prices continue to tread lower. This should prompt the Bernanke Fed to deliver an “insurance ease” to keep the fragile recovery on track and hedge itself ahead of fiscal headwinds and external shocks, according to Nomura’s fixed income research team.

On the much commented issue of sterilized bond buying, Nomura’s analysts note it’s essentially an “academic issue.” Bernanke & Co. will probably favor sterilized QE, though, in order to appease inflation hawks and keep a lid on oil prices.

Risk assets hit the road running in 2012, with U.S. and international equities rallying along with commodities. All of that changed on February 29 when Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, in Congressional Testimony, failed to emphasize how ready he was to deliver QE, sparking a global sell-off that hit U.S. equities (including the financials), emerging markets (as measured by the EEM ETF), and gold, among other assets.

Read Full Article from Forbes

- Posted: 2012-03-13 12:12:07

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